Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-05 0.015286 0.019015 0.023872 0.030860 0.041010 0.055849 0.080540
2025-01-12 0.010685 0.014551 0.020320 0.030152 0.047957 0.082702 0.170188
2025-01-19 0.008895 0.012881 0.019429 0.032127 0.059815 0.131313 0.429892
2025-01-26 0.007936 0.012084 0.019476 0.035571 0.077692 0.227287 1.605164
2025-02-02 0.007228 0.011473 0.019572 0.039135 0.100327 0.414309 14.670665
2025-02-09 0.006400 0.010437 0.018497 0.039419 0.114218 0.646223 4887.874952
2025-02-16 0.005761 0.009615 0.017621 0.039794 0.129925 1.059281 NaN
2025-02-23 0.005220 0.008880 0.016739 0.039752 0.144917 1.776410 NaN
2025-03-02 0.004655 0.008005 0.015336 0.037522 0.146499 2.424289 NaN
2025-03-09 0.004245 0.007390 0.014422 0.036520 0.154853 3.923488 NaN
2025-03-16 0.003984 0.007045 0.014088 0.037372 0.178247 9.966501 NaN
2025-03-23 0.003711 0.006642 0.013525 0.037178 0.195044 27.399435 NaN
2025-03-30 0.003353 0.006050 0.012478 0.035183 0.198132 77.118887 NaN
2025-04-06 0.003079 0.005615 0.011778 0.034360 0.213726 1712.002459 NaN
2025-04-13 0.002946 0.005472 0.011829 0.036730 0.277921 NaN NaN
2025-04-20 0.002868 0.005446 0.012196 0.040887 0.405148 NaN NaN
2025-04-27 0.002790 0.005404 0.012513 0.045222 0.606697 NaN NaN
2025-05-04 0.002634 0.005151 0.012129 0.045569 0.728498 NaN NaN
2025-05-11 0.002496 0.004928 0.011791 0.046027 0.887790 NaN NaN
2025-05-18 0.002363 0.004702 0.011403 0.045975 1.053578 NaN NaN
2025-05-25 0.002201 0.004385 0.010661 0.043256 1.026471 NaN NaN
2025-06-01 0.002077 0.004155 0.010177 0.042038 1.106077 NaN NaN
2025-06-08 0.001997 0.004032 0.010030 0.043074 1.442134 NaN NaN